Originally Posted by Ian
Hi Yoshi, thanks for this. Do you think Pentax can sell more cameras like this than Mamiya? How is Mamiya doing at the moment?
Little information is available about Mamiya these days. Since its re-start some years ago, they seemingly do not make press release or whatever frequently. I believe they are continuously alive - just quietly.
I do believe that Pentax can outsell Mamiya very easily, as was the case during the film days.
My memory has already eroded but iirc Pentax has market share of more than 70% in (FILM) MF segment - I do not recall whether this was in Japan or global, either. And more MF camera sales also resulted in more 35mm camera sales in good old days for Pentax.
I have heard that the Pentax 645D may only be sold in Japan...
I searched for information on this with a little bit surprise but at our rumor sites, not hot discussion about this point, although there are lots of enthusiastic comments about 645D. I now learned that the rumor comes from an interview at PMA. I just could not find any additional information about that and sorry for that.
I personally think it can be both true and not true.
Mac introduced iPod or iPHONE in the US first and later in Japan. In that context, it could be possible especially when the production capacity is limited.
On top of it, it looks like that Pentax is somewhat lackling confidence in launching this expensive model.
Pentax might want to make a test/pilot marketing first here and when they can get some confidence, then go globally. Pentax can not take lots of risks these days as you know quite well.
On the other hand, Pentax cannot expect that they can sell sufficient volume in Japan only. For its success, they badly needs global success at earlier days. It is an extraordinarily expensive camera and only limited people can actually buy. When it's market is limited to Japan only, no room for success almost for sure. - this applies to all kinds of products, regardless 645D or cameras ...
If they can sell 645D at yen 800K (approx. 8000 US$), which is similar price range to Nikon D3X, then, some say, it would be a huge success. It therefore depends on whether Pentax can get the sensor at reasonably competitive price level from the sensor manufacturer, IMHO.
The annoucement says that the sensor would be 30MP or more. It might be interpreted that Pentax is in a big dilennma now in finally determining the spec.
When they choose 30MP, then price could be lower than otherwise but if they choose a larger MP sensor, then it could be painfully expensive, although it could be appealing to some people, especially in landscape pros as it offers more room of cropping.
It looks to me that what is more important thing is to eliminate one more zero from the price tag ...